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Reliability and Effective Failure Rate of "n-m" Standby Redundant Units, with "m" Required for Success

Background:


Return to Redundancy Calculator


The tool provides the following capabilities:

1. Reliability Function

It provides the reliability function, R(t), based on the redundancy level entered. R(t) is derived using the most general R(t) equation for "m of n Must Be Working", for "n" fully energized identical parallel units, as shown on page 160 of the Reliability Toolkit: Commercial Practices Edition (Ref. 2).
R(t) function for m of n units required, where n-m are cold spares
This equation has been further modified to factor in the probability that the switching mechanism works correctly. Each term in the above summation for k>0 represents one additional failure in the overall system, an thus an additional switching action. Therefore, each term for k>0 is multiplied by the probability P that the switch will work correctly. For example, for a system of three units (n=3), with one unit required (m=1) for success and two units that are cold standby spares (n-m=2):
R(t) function for m of n units required, where n-m are cold spares
R(t) function for m of n units required, where n-m are cold spares
The first term represents the probability of no failures, the second term the probability of exactly one failure (requiring one switching action) and the third term the probability of two failures (requiring a second switching action). The above assumes perfect switching. If each switching action is imperfect and occurs with probability P, then the overall probability of success is:
R(t) function for m of n units required, where n-m are cold spares

2. Effective MTBF

It uses Gauss Integration to numerically evaluate the following equation.
Equation for calculation of Effective MTBF
where T is the maintenance interval (i.e., the system is restored to "as good as new" every T hours). The effective failure rate is the reciprocal of the effective MTBF. The following figure shows the concept of effective, or average failure rate, over time as the system is renewed every T hours. The instantaneous system failure rate, which increases over time as redundant units fail, is shown at time T. This failure rate increases over time as redundant units fail and less fault tolerance remains.

Timeline showing scheduled maintenance

3. MTTF

It calculates mean time to failure (MTTF) using Gauss Integration:
Equation for calculation of MTTF

4. Excel Output

It also allows for the output of the derived reliability function, R(t), as a Microsoft Excel formula, thereby allowing for manipulation and plot generation within Microsoft Excel.

Export R(t) function to a Microsoft Excel equation

5. Text Output

It also allows for the output of the derived reliability function, R(t), as a text string that can be directly used in a Python programming language lambda function, thereby allowing for further customized reliability modeling within the Python programming environment. For example, the following picture shows text output highlighted in yellow. In the Pythion shell shown on the right, this text is pasted into a Python lambda function that takes inputs (in this example) of t, gamma, eta and beta; thereby, allowing easy computation of reliability for any combination of these inputs. Python is available from http://python.org/, or an on-line version of the Python shell is available by clicking the calculator icon in the lower right-hand corner of this page.

Export R(t) function into a Python lambda function



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References:

  1. United States Air Force Rome Laboratory Reliability Engineer's Toolkit (1993).
  2. Reliability Toolkit: Commercial Practices Edition, United States Air Force Rome Laboratory and the DoD Reliability Analysis Center, (1995). Available from: http://src.alionscience.com/src/products.do?action=detail&code=CPE
  3. MIL-HDBK-338, Electronic Reliability Design Handbook.
  4. Klion, Jerome, A Redundancy Notebook, Rome Air Development Center, RADC-TR-77-287, December 1987.
  5. Reliability Modeling and Prediction, MIL-STD-756B, November 1981.
  6. McGregor, Malcolm A., Approximation Formulas for Reliability with Repair, IEEE Transactions on Reliability, Volume R-12, Number 4, December 1963.
  7. Bazovsky, Igor, Reliability Theory and Practice.
  8. O'Connor, Patrick, D. T., Practical Reliability Engineering.
  9. Barranger, Paul, See http://www.barringer1.com/wdbase.htm for a database of typical Weibull shape and characteristic life parameters.
  10. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gaussian_quadrature
  11. Birolini, Alessandro, Reliability Engineering: Theory and Practice.